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UBS: It is estimated that by 2025, the price of Brent crude oil will rise to $80/barrel and WTI crude oil will rise to $75/barrel. Have a constructive view on the prospect of natural gas price in 2025 (the forecast is $3.50/million British heat in June and $3.60/million British heat in September).The Israeli army warned Lebanese residents not to move to southern Lebanon. On the 11th local time, Adrahi, Arabic spokesperson of the Israel Defense Forces, posted a message on the social media platform, asking Lebanese residents not to move to more than 60 villages and their surrounding areas in southern Lebanon until further notice. The Israeli army provided a schematic diagram of the warning area and warned that anyone moving south of the area would put himself in danger. (CCTV News)Molding technology: The transaction amount of selling Jiangsu Bank shares was 226 million yuan. According to the announcement of molding technology, the company sold 25 million shares of Jiangsu Bank through centralized bidding from December 4, 2024 to December 11, 2024, with a transaction amount of 226 million yuan. After the sale, the company also holds 25,000,600 shares of Jiangsu Bank. This transaction is conducive to optimizing the company's asset structure, revitalizing existing assets, improving asset liquidity and efficiency, and meeting the company's capital needs for future development. The sale is expected to have a positive impact on the company's financial position and cash flow.

Vegetable oil rose by 2.08% on the 11th, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 11th, the main contract vegetable oil closed at 2,505, up or down by +2.08%, with a turnover of 727,500 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were net, and the difference position was 2,628 lots. The total turnover of vegetable oil futures contracts was 857,200 lots, an increase of 255,300 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 240,200 lots, an increase of 6,901 lots over the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 239,200 lots, a decrease of 1,059 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)The Israeli army has launched more than 350 attacks in Syria. According to the news of Syrian Human Rights Watch on December 11th, local time, up to now, Israel has launched more than 352 attacks in Syria, destroying military facilities in 13 provinces in Syria. On the 10th local time, the Israel Defense Forces issued a statement saying that up to now, the Israeli military has cracked down on 320 strategic targets in Syria and destroyed weapons that may fall into the hands of hostile forces. According to Israeli military estimates, more than 70% of Syria's military forces have been destroyed.The wide currency and weak credit logic may continue, and the upward direction of the market volatility will not change. The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) is gaining momentum. On December 11, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) closed down by 0.25%, with a turnover of 75,892,100 yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed. In terms of rising, Midea Group led the rise, and Changjiang Power followed suit. In terms of decline, China Ping An led the decline, while Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited followed. In the news, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited, the power battery giant, once again announced that it will build a power battery factory overseas, which will also become the company's third battery factory in Europe. Bank of China Securities said that the important meeting at the end of the year is about to land, and the market may face fluctuations caused by the expected landing of policies in the short term, but the tone of monetary policy will not change. The logic of "wide money+weak credit" will continue in the short term. Under the expectation of loose monetary policy, the upward direction of market volatility will not change. According to industry insiders, looking forward to 2025, the allocation of A-share industry can be developed around three main lines: first, the direction of domestic macro-circulation, attaching importance to "duality and innovation", "debt conversion" and new growth points in the consumption field; Second, science and technology are self-reliant: pay attention to artificial intelligence industry, self-controllable, new energy technology, aerospace information technology and data elements; The third is to open wider to the outside world: pay attention to cross-border e-commerce, digital trade, tax exemption and inbound tourism. You can use the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) to lay out the core assets with one click.

It is reported that Walgreens Boots Alliance is negotiating to sell itself to a private equity company, which will delist the drugstore chain. The company's share price has been declining for nearly ten years. According to informed sources, Wobolian and Sycamore Partners have been discussing a deal, which may be completed as early as early next year, provided that the negotiations do not break down. It is reported that the market value of Wobolian peaked at more than 100 billion US dollars in 2015, but it has shrunk to about 7.5 billion US dollars since then.With the intensive IPO process of domestic semiconductor companies, we can seize new opportunities in the semiconductor chip industry through the semiconductor ETF(512480). On December 11th, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed up 0.20% with a turnover of 1.29 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed. In terms of rising, the Cambrian led the rise, and Weir shares followed. In terms of decline, Zhongwei Company led the decline, and Haiguang Information followed suit. In the news, in the fourth quarter of 2024, the IPO acceptance review in science and technology innovation board has been accelerated, with 12 companies updating their review status, mostly in the semiconductor industry. According to industry insiders, from the current audit dynamics, materials, parts and components in the upstream of the industry, as well as AI chips in the design process, may be more popular in the future. Guojin Securities pointed out that semiconductor self-control is the general trend, and it is optimistic about semiconductor equipment parts, materials and domestic computing power industry chain. CITIC Securities said that it is expected that the overall localization pace of the domestic semiconductor industry will be further accelerated, and the manufacturing sector is also expected to benefit. Investors can take advantage of the semiconductor ETF(512480) to grasp the new opportunities in the semiconductor chip industry.Hauser, Vice Chairman of the Reserve Bank of Australia: The direct impact of US tariffs on Australia may be limited. Hauser: Australia has a strong comparative advantage in raw materials and services. Flexible exchange rate and independent monetary policy are powerful shock absorbers. The Reserve Bank of Australia will respond in any direction to fulfill its responsibilities. The impact of (Trump policy) on inflation in Australia is ambiguous and may move in any direction. We will pay close attention to the progress of tariffs and stand ready to respond appropriately.